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Forecast for 8/20/05 part IV

18z models keep CAPE and LI focus in the previous target area. It is interesting to see how much difference there is between the 18z forecast and the 00z forecast for the given products.
NAM still breaks the precip out in Western OK, SW KS and some of Colo. So, NAM says upper air support wont make it far enough east in time to mix well for anything more than some svr storms with microbursts being the primary threat.
I'm probably still going to get out - Wed was fun and helped a lot with SDS.
Side note: Starting to hear reports of tornadoes on the ground up in Kansas around Great Bend.
More later tonight after the 00z models render.

Forecast for 8/20/05 part V

Forecast for 8/20/05 part III